Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.067239 0.072590 0.077992 0.083844 0.089999 0.096272 0.103141
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.057749 0.065581 0.073758 0.082904 0.092820 0.103217 0.114916
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.050991 0.060644 0.071032 0.082979 0.096274 0.110549 0.126973
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.045487 0.056481 0.068651 0.083001 0.099340 0.117248 0.138245
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.042735 0.055089 0.069098 0.085968 0.105544 0.127361 0.153329
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.039613 0.052950 0.068424 0.087433 0.109880 0.135279 0.165924
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.036777 0.050889 0.067622 0.088558 0.113679 0.142497 0.177689
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.033484 0.048002 0.065600 0.088025 0.115359 0.147135 0.186393
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.031433 0.046506 0.065136 0.089255 0.119054 0.154088 0.197794
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.028778 0.044039 0.063294 0.088638 0.120387 0.158145 0.205717
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026838 0.042373 0.062345 0.089032 0.122879 0.163542 0.215217
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.025579 0.041529 0.062382 0.090612 0.126804 0.170662 0.226812
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.025308 0.042064 0.064279 0.094679 0.133995 0.181977 0.243771
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022580 0.038986 0.061229 0.092193 0.132792 0.182887 0.247994
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020724 0.037033 0.059593 0.091476 0.133784 0.186482 0.255511
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019127 0.035355 0.058244 0.091063 0.135109 0.190463 0.263502
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018727 0.035450 0.059359 0.093985 0.140816 0.200026 0.278541
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017892 0.034818 0.059401 0.095408 0.144537 0.207073 0.290457
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017028 0.034083 0.059247 0.096528 0.147839 0.213589 0.301734
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015737 0.032581 0.057903 0.095921 0.148776 0.217029 0.309098
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.015052 0.032020 0.057916 0.097205 0.152259 0.223779 0.320718
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.013910 0.030619 0.056601 0.096537 0.153039 0.226974 0.327769
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.013115 0.029757 0.056062 0.096948 0.155276 0.232074 0.337288